Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.006464 0.007453 0.008607 0.010074 0.011910 0.014168 0.017212
2025-11-09 0.004925 0.006053 0.007500 0.009544 0.012450 0.016589 0.023261
2025-11-16 0.004098 0.005242 0.006797 0.009158 0.012828 0.018670 0.029578
2025-11-23 0.003684 0.004870 0.006569 0.009313 0.013944 0.022157 0.040054
2025-11-30 0.003296 0.004465 0.006203 0.009148 0.014454 0.024751 0.050541
2025-12-07 0.002957 0.004082 0.005801 0.008831 0.014585 0.026641 0.060915
2025-12-14 0.002719 0.003818 0.005547 0.008705 0.015029 0.029362 0.076195
2025-12-21 0.002598 0.003721 0.005543 0.009019 0.016430 0.034973 0.108238
2025-12-28 0.002518 0.003678 0.005620 0.009492 0.018321 0.042999 0.166581
2026-01-04 0.002395 0.003551 0.005533 0.009621 0.019460 0.049645 0.238777
2026-01-11 0.002256 0.003383 0.005352 0.009523 0.020008 0.054794 0.323651
2026-01-18 0.002150 0.003263 0.005244 0.009563 0.020938 0.062161 0.477877
2026-01-25 0.002012 0.003085 0.005028 0.009374 0.021324 0.068454 0.705452
2026-02-01 0.001854 0.002861 0.004704 0.008897 0.020751 0.070252 0.907709
2026-02-08 0.001726 0.002682 0.004452 0.008547 0.020479 0.073547 1.261056
2026-02-15 0.001662 0.002612 0.004407 0.008687 0.021844 0.087647 2.898225
2026-02-22 0.001575 0.002496 0.004256 0.008538 0.022188 0.096431 5.985474
2026-03-01 0.001484 0.002364 0.004061 0.008249 0.021950 0.101241 11.588917
2026-03-08 0.001416 0.002271 0.003940 0.008135 0.022339 0.111869 43.962235
2026-03-15 0.001388 0.002250 0.003968 0.008420 0.024418 0.142304 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001371 0.002251 0.004042 0.008849 0.027367 0.193896 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001332 0.002205 0.004008 0.008966 0.029024 0.239277 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001281 0.002134 0.003910 0.008878 0.029675 0.274147 NaN